We are messing with the future.
This was the strong
sense among 432 leaders from 63 countries at the Tällberg Forum in
Sweden this June. Such were the reflections by experts like James
Hansen, lead climate scientist and director of the NASA Goddard
Institute for Space Science, and Ashok Khosla, President of Development
Alternatives, when it came to our management of climate and sustainable
development. Assessments like these make it impossible to maintain our
denial.
For a quarter of a century, the Tällberg
Foundation has evolved a global network of learning to better manage
the local and global risks emerging from evolutionary systemic changes.
This learning process is continuously deepening and expanding. One
business leader put it this way: “Every time I leave Tällberg I am that
much further ahead of my industry’s thinking.”
The Forum
asks: “How on earth can we live together?” This year the gathering of
leaders from business, government, civil society, education, science
and the arts explored how problems can be solved through the
opportunities they create and, of course, the possibilities for
solutions. Tällberg’s hallmark is to connect the local with the global.
Ending Brinksmanship
Ours is a world of brinkmanship. “Business as usual” pushes what are
growing risks into dangerous situations that quickly cascade into
disasters. Current policies on the Triple-E equation of
Economy–Energy–Environment exacerbate an existing disequilibrium that
threatens orderly transition from our world today to the one that is
emerging. This emergent world is disinterested in boundaries, and
instead in one where activities of commerce and culture will be
measured in emissions and migrations. It is a world where burgeoning
tides of wealth and poverty can trigger tsunamis of consequences.
Hurricane Katrina alone battered seven states in the U.S., at a cost of
more than US$80 billion and more than 1,800 human lives. Three of the
10 strongest hurricanes ever recorded occurred in 2005. Typhoons in
southern China and North Korea in July 2006 destroyed the homes of tens
of millions of people and impacted 32 million hectares of arable land
in China. Western Kenya has never seen such massive floods as now.
Those not immediately affected by all this often believe that these
changes are not connected to their lives and livelihoods. How can they
not be?
We
can improve on this brinkmanship and its consequences. Globalization
must hold the promise of prosperity and the end of poverty. But this
promise meets a daunting challenge: we must reconcile the need for
economic growth with limited energy resources and environmental
fragility. Surmounting this will be achieved through transparent and
accountable governance at all levels—local to global governing
institutions, and of course, business.
Let us not mince
words. Ahead we face the greatest—and necessarily quickest—mass
learning period in history. We have just 10 to 20 years to overcome our
persistent arrogance and ignorance. We have less than a generation to
get right with Gaia. We all live in this biosphere, and we must
understand our place in the ecological system to design truly long
term, generational strategies. Earth’s atmosphere is now with 385 ppm
CO2., and we may soon reach 500+ ppm CO2 . It is not acceptable. We
need a new cognitive base for action, and we have a window of
opportunity.
The Tällberg Forum does not issue statements.
Rather, we rely on a principle: if you get a new insight, you have a
new responsibility. We learn from our parents: “You made the mess. You
clean it up.” That moral imperative of personal responsibility to the
planet and each other is precisely what’s missing. Its absence has us
messing with the future. In an odd twist of fate, children are no
longer the future—we are our children’s future. It is time to get
serious and clean up our mess.